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Unit outline_

MATH4512: Stochastic Analysis

Semester 2, 2026 [Normal day] - Camperdown/Darlington, Sydney

Capturing random phenomena is a challenging problem in many disciplines from biology, chemistry and physics through engineering to economics and finance. There is a wide spectrum of problems in these fields, which are described using random processes that evolve with time. Hence it is of crucial importance that applied mathematicians are equipped with tools used to analyse and quantify random phenomena. This unit will introduce an important class of stochastic processes, using the theory of martingales. You will study concepts such as the Ito stochastic integral with respect to a continuous martingale and related stochastic differential equations. Special attention will be given to the classical notion of the Brownian motion, which is the most celebrated and widely used example of a continuous martingale. By completing this unit, you will learn how to rigorously describe and tackle the evolution of random phenomena using continuous time stochastic processes. You will also gain a deep knowledge about stochastic integration, which is an indispensable tool to study problems arising, for example, in Financial Mathematics.

Unit details and rules

Academic unit Mathematics and Statistics Academic Operations
Credit points 6
Prerequisites
? 
None
Corequisites
? 
None
Prohibitions
? 
None
Assumed knowledge
? 

A thorough knowledge of linear algebra (e.g., MATH2X22), stochastic processes (STAT3X21/4021) and probability theory (preferably STAT4528, or measure theoretic probability theory such as MATH3969/4069). Some familiarity with partial differential equations (e.g., MATH2X21 or MATH3X78/4078).

Available to study abroad and exchange students

Yes

Teaching staff

Coordinator Marek Rutkowski, marek.rutkowski@sydney.edu.au
The census date for this unit availability is 31 August 2026
Type Description Weight Due Length Use of AI
Written exam Final Exam
Written exam for mathematical calculation/proof.
60% Formal exam period 2 hours AI prohibited
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4 LO5 LO6
Written work Assignment
Written take-home assignment for mathematical calculation/proof.
15% Week 05
Due date: 06 Sep 2026 at 23:59

Closing date: 16 Sep 2026
Submitted work AI allowed
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO2 LO3 LO7 LO8
In-person written or creative task Quiz
Written in-class test for mathematical calculation/proof.
15% Week 09
Due date: 07 Oct 2026 at 11:00

Closing date: 07 Oct 2026
1 hour AI prohibited
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4 LO5
Contribution Contribution to tutorials
Active contribution to solving mathematical problems during tutorials. Marking scheme: 2 marks for a correct solution, 1 mark for an attempted partial solution and no marks otherwise with the total up to 5 marks awarded during semester.
5% Weekly Weeks 1-13 AI allowed
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4 LO5 LO6 LO7 LO8
Conversation Attendance in tutorials
Tutorial attendance and active participation in discussions. Marking scheme: 0.5 marks for each active attendance up to the total of 5 marks (with rounding up if required).
5% Weekly Weeks 1-13 AI allowed
Outcomes assessed: LO1 LO2 LO3 LO4 LO5 LO6 LO7 LO8

Assessment summary

Quiz: Written in-class test for mathematical calculation/proof during lecture.

Assignment:ÌýWritten take-home assignment for mathematical calculation/proof.

Contribution:ÌýActive contribution to solving mathematical problems during tutorials. Marking scheme: 2 marks for a correct solution, 1 mark for an attempted partial solution and no marks otherwise with the total up to 5 marks awarded during semester.

Attendance:ÌýTutorial attendance and active participation in discussions. Marking scheme: 0.5 marks for each active attendance up to the total of 5 marks (with rounding up if required).

Final Exam:ÌýIf a second replacement exam is required, this exam may be delivered via an alternative assessment method, such as viva voce (oral exam). The alternative assessment will meet the same learning outcomes as the originalÌýexam. The format of the alternative assessment will be determined by the unit coordinator.

Detailed information for each assessment can be found on Canvas.

Assessment criteria

The University awards common result grades, set out in theÌýÌý(Schedule 1).

As a general guide, a high distinction indicates work of an exceptional standard, a distinction a very high standard, a credit a good standard, and a pass an acceptable standard.

Result name

Mark range

Description

High distinction

85 - 100

Representing complete or close to complete mastery of the material.

Distinction

75 - 84

Representing excellence, but substantially less than complete mastery.

Credit

65 - 74

Representing a creditable performance that goes beyond routine knowledge and understanding, but less thanÌýexcellence.

Pass

50 - 64

Representing at least routine knowledge and understanding over a spectrum of topics andÌýimportant ideas andÌýconcepts in the course.

Fail

0 - 49

When you don’t meet the learning outcomes of the unit to a satisfactory standard.

Ìý
Ìý

For more information see guide to grades.

Use of generative artificial intelligence (AI)

You can use generative AI tools for open assessments. Restrictions on AI use apply to secure, supervised assessments used to confirm if students have met specific learning outcomes.

Refer to the assessment table above to see if AI is allowed, for assessments in this unit and check Canvas for full instructions on assessment tasks and AI use.

If you use AI, you must always acknowledge it. Misusing AI may lead to a breach of theÌýAcademic Integrity Policy.

Visit theÌýCurrent Students websiteÌýfor more information on AI in assessments, includingÌýdetails on how to acknowledge its use.

Late submission

In accordance with University policy, these penalties apply when written work is submitted after 11:59pm on the due date:

  • Deduction of 5% of the maximum mark for each calendar day after the due date.
  • After ten calendar days late, a mark of zero will be awarded.

This unit has an exception to the standard University policy or supplementary information has been provided by the unit coordinator. This information is displayed below:

IMPORTANT: Late penalties rules for this course are different and described below: 1) Deduction of 10% of the maximum mark for each calendar day after the due date. 2) After five calendar days late, a mark of zero will be awarded. 3) For all assessments, the rules for special consideration/arrangement apply. The maximal possible extension is 7 days.

Academic integrity

The University expects students to act ethically and honestly and will treat all allegations of academic integrity breaches seriously.

Our websiteÌýprovides information on academic integrity and the resources available to all students. This includes advice on how to avoid common breaches of academic integrity. Ensure that you have completed theÌýAcademic Honesty Education Module (AHEM)Ìýwhich is mandatory for all commencing coursework students

Penalties for serious breaches can significantly impact your studies and your career after graduation. It is important that you speak with your unit coordinator if you need help with completing assessments.

Visit theÌýCurrent Students websiteÌýfor more information on AI in assessments, includingÌýdetails on how to acknowledge its use.

Simple extensions

If you encounter a problem submitting your work on time, you may be able to apply for an extension of five calendar days through aÌýsimple extension.  The application process will be different depending on the type of assessment and extensions cannot be granted for some assessment types like exams.

Special consideration

If exceptional circumstances mean you can’t complete an assessment, you need consideration for a longer period of time, or if you have essential commitments which impact your performance in an assessment, you may be eligible forÌýspecial consideration or special arrangements.

Special consideration applications will not be affected by a simple extension application.

Using AI responsibly

Co-created with students,ÌýÌýincludes lots of helpful examples of how students use generative AI tools to support their learning. It explains how generative AI works, the different tools available and how to use them responsibly and productively.

Support for students

The Support for Students PolicyÌýreflects the University’s commitment to supporting students in their academic journey and making the University safe for students. It is important that you read and understand this policy so that you are familiar with the range of support services available to you and understand how to engage with them.

The University uses email as its primary source of communication with students who need support under the Support for Students Policy. Make sure you check your University email regularly and respond to any communications received from the University.

Learning resources and detailed information about weekly assessment and learning activities can be accessed via Canvas. It is essential that you visit your unit of study Canvas site to ensure you are up to date with all of your tasks.

If you are having difficulties completing your studies, or are feeling unsure about your progress, we are here to help. You can access the support services offered by the University at any time:

Support and Services (including health and wellbeing services, financial support and learning support)
Course planning and administration
Meet with an Academic Adviser

WK Topic Learning activity Learning outcomes
Week 01 Conditional expectation. Lecture (3 hr) LO1
Week 02 Continuous-time stochastic processes. Lecture (3 hr) LO1
Conditional expectation. Tutorial (1 hr) LO1
Week 03 Continuous-time martingales. Lecture (3 hr) LO1
Continuous-time stochastic processes. Tutorial (1 hr) LO1
Week 04 Wiener Process and its sample paths. Lecture (3 hr) LO2
Continuous-time martingales. Tutorial (1 hr) LO1
Week 05 Ito’s stochastic integral for continuous martingales. Lecture (3 hr) LO3
Wiener Process and its sample paths. Tutorial (1 hr) LO2
Week 06 Ito’s formula for continuous semimartingales. Lecture (3 hr) LO3
Ito’s stochastic integral for continuous martingales. Tutorial (1 hr) LO3
Week 07 Local time and Ito-Tanaka-Meyer formula. Lecture (3 hr) LO3 LO5
Ito’s formula for continuous semimartingales. Tutorial (1 hr) LO3
Week 08 Stochastic exponential and Girsanov’s theorem. Lecture (3 hr) LO3 LO5
Local time and Ito-Tanaka-Meyer formula. Tutorial (1 hr) LO3 LO5
Week 09 Predictable representation property of a Wiener process. Lecture (3 hr) LO3 LO5
Stochastic exponential and Girsanov’s theorem. Tutorial (1 hr) LO3 LO5
Week 10 Stochastic differential equations. Lecture (3 hr) LO4
Predictable representation property of a Wiener process. Tutorial (1 hr) LO3 LO5
Week 11 Feynman-Kac formula and PDEs. Lecture (3 hr) LO6
Stochastic differential equations. Tutorial (1 hr) LO4
Week 12 Probability distributions for a Wiener process with drift. Lecture (3 hr) LO5 LO7
Feynman-Kac formula and PDEs. Tutorial (1 hr) LO6
Week 13 Poisson process and its extensions. Lecture (3 hr) LO8
Probability distributions for a Wiener process with drift. Tutorial (1 hr) LO5 LO7

Study commitment

Typically, there is a minimum expectation of 1.5-2 hours of student effort per week per credit point for units of study offered over a full semester. For a 6 credit point unit, this equates to roughly 120-150 hours of student effort in total.

Learning outcomes are what students know, understand and are able to do on completion of a unit of study. They are aligned with the University's graduate qualities and are assessed as part of the curriculum.

At the completion of this unit, you should be able to:

  • LO1. Demonstrate an understanding of the concepts of continuous time processes, stopping times and martingales.​
  • LO2. ​Apply the properties of Brownian motion (such as martingale property, Markov property, behaviour under the equivalent change of measure and predictable representation property). ​
  • LO3. Describe the construction of Ito integral and apply Ito integration correctly in relevant examples.​
  • LO4. Identify the similarities and differences between strong and weak solutions to SDEs and apply existence and uniqueness results to some specific SDEs.​
  • LO5. Check the martingale property of stochastic processes using Ito's lemma.
  • LO6. Use the Feyman-Kac formula to analyse real world problems including arbitrage pricing.
  • LO7. Identify, formulate and solve original practical problems that can be addressed using mathematical techniques learnt in this unit and examine the implementations and provide an interpretation of the results.​
  • LO8. Independently research sources provided by lecturers such as journal articles and working papers and evaluate the real-world plausibility and effectiveness of various approaches and tools.​

Graduate qualities

The graduate qualities are the qualities and skills that all ±¬ÁÏÍõ graduates must demonstrate on successful completion of an award course. As a future Sydney graduate, the set of qualities have been designed to equip you for the contemporary world.

GQ1 Depth of disciplinary expertise

Deep disciplinary expertise is the ability to integrate and rigorously apply knowledge, understanding and skills of a recognised discipline defined by scholarly activity, as well as familiarity with evolving practice of the discipline.

GQ2 Critical thinking and problem solving

Critical thinking and problem solving are the questioning of ideas, evidence and assumptions in order to propose and evaluate hypotheses or alternative arguments before formulating a conclusion or a solution to an identified problem.

GQ3 Oral and written communication

Effective communication, in both oral and written form, is the clear exchange of meaning in a manner that is appropriate to audience and context.

GQ4 Information and digital literacy

Information and digital literacy is the ability to locate, interpret, evaluate, manage, adapt, integrate, create and convey information using appropriate resources, tools and strategies.

GQ5 Inventiveness

Generating novel ideas and solutions.

GQ6 Cultural competence

Cultural Competence is the ability to actively, ethically, respectfully, and successfully engage across and between cultures. In the Australian context, this includes and celebrates Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander cultures, knowledge systems, and a mature understanding of contemporary issues.

GQ7 Interdisciplinary effectiveness

Interdisciplinary effectiveness is the integration and synthesis of multiple viewpoints and practices, working effectively across disciplinary boundaries.

GQ8 Integrated professional, ethical, and personal identity

An integrated professional, ethical and personal identity is understanding the interaction between one’s personal and professional selves in an ethical context.

GQ9 Influence

Engaging others in a process, idea or vision.

Outcome map

Learning outcomes Graduate qualities
GQ1 GQ2 GQ3 GQ4 GQ5 GQ6 GQ7 GQ8 GQ9

This section outlines changes made to this unit following staff and student reviews.

More emphasis is put on regular work during the semester, students' participation and engagement is essential.

Disclaimer

Important: the ±¬ÁÏÍõ regularly reviews units of study and reserves the right to change the units of study available annually. To stay up to date on available study options, including unit of study details and availability, refer to the relevant handbook.

To help you understand common terms that we use at the University, we offer an .