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The ghost of Robodebt

Federal Court rules billions of dollars in welfare debts must be recalculated.

28 July 2025

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A recent landmark court decision could have significant ramifications for several million social security recipients.

The ruling means the federal government will need to recalculate more than A$4 billion in debts owed to the Department of Social Services, which administers Centrelink.

Some of the debts 鈥� which occurred due to overpayment of benefits 鈥� stretch back decades.

Reminiscent of Robodebt, the problem occurred because an unlawful method 鈥撎�� was used to calculate the money Centrelink claimed it was owed.

The judgement

From the early 1990s until 2020, more than 5.3 million welfare debts were calculated using income apportionment.

In the test case听, the full Federal Court approved a method proposed by the government to recalculate the debts.

The court was not asked whether the debts were unlawful 鈥� a point the department had already conceded 鈥� but whether its remedy was legally sound. In a two-judge majority, the court ruled it generally was.

Following the judgement, the department听听debt recovery, which had been paused in 2023, pending the legal decision. It said in a statement: now there is certainty to the legal position, assessments will recommence in line with the court鈥檚 decision.

The scale of the problem

The unlawful debts are worth听听in total, and affect almost three million Australians. About 91% of these debts 鈥� $3.93 billion 鈥� has already been repaid to Centrelink.

础苍辞迟丑别谤听听鈥� totalling $347 million 鈥� remain outstanding.

All the debts 鈥� either repaid or still owing 鈥� must be recalculated using the revised method approved by the court.

According to the government, the听听is $330 and has been owed for 19 years, on average.

But the judgement does not compel the government to actually recover the money. Some听听听suggest听听is being considered.

For its part,听听says it will 鈥渆valuate鈥� the court decision and develop a 鈥渟uitable response鈥�.

What is income apportionment?

An听听meant Centrelink was obliged to calculate a person鈥檚 income when it was 鈥渆arned鈥� rather than 鈥渞eceived鈥�.

This led to the use of听听鈥� essentially an educated guess about a person鈥檚 fortnightly earnings when their pay cycle didn鈥檛 align with their income reporting period.

Income apportionment was used by Centrelink when payslips did not match up with fortnightly reporting periods, leading to many overpayments. Shutterstock

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This process, which typically produced overpayments to recipients, spread income outside an instalment period, which was contrary to the听. It also attributed earnings to a person for days and fortnights they hadn鈥檛 worked.

Income apportionment was discontinued in 2020. Three years later, the Commonwealth ombudsman found the method听.

Is this different to Robodebt?

While Social Services has听, the two methods of calculating debt are comparable.

Both attributed a person鈥檚听听beyond the听.

But there are differences in source and scale.

Where apportionment was personalised by using individual customer payslips, Robodebt used Australian Tax Office records to raise debts en masse.

Significantly, while the ombudsman said the department鈥檚 understanding of the law relating to apportionment was 鈥渋ncorrect鈥�, it was also 鈥済enuinely held鈥�.

On the other hand, the infamous Robodebt scheme was designed to ramp up debt clawbacks. Claims of misfeasance in public office听.

Other troubling overlaps remain.

Many individuals affected by apportionment debts raised after 2015 will be the same people served with Robodebt notices.

Evidentiary burden

A troubling aspect of the test case was the suggestion by the majority judges 鈥� citing听听听听鈥� that the evidentiary burden could shift to the welfare recipient when overpayments are believed to occur through 鈥渨rongdoing鈥�.

This could force an individual to disprove their alleged debt if a decision-maker concluded the recipient had accidentally under-reported 鈥� as occurred in the test case 鈥� and a lack of evidence made it difficult for the government to prove its allegation.

The finding arguably runs counter to the Robodebt Royal Commission鈥檚 observation that most welfare recipients lack the power to disprove a debt because their historical records are unavailable.

The dissenting judge in the case rejected the government鈥檚 proposed recalculation method, finding it 鈥渘ot proper鈥� for recovery action to be taken without听.

He said the majority decision meant Centrelink could reassess debts in the future after evidence had been lost, and recipients would be powerless to disprove them.

Expensive fix

The administrative burden of reassessing these unlawful debts is immense.

Late last year, a team of 150 public servants, each costing $117,400 per annum, was听听to rectify income apportionment.

Their听听revealed 64% of people issued debt bills were overcharged, 29% were undercharged, while 4% are owed a total refund.

Minister for Social Services Tanya Plibersek is reportedly compiling options for how to deal with the debts. Shutterstock

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The remediation process has been chaotic.

In the year following the ombudsman鈥檚 report,听, highlighting the human impact of income apportionment.

But in a five-month period, a mere听听have been finalised.

, Social Services听, contrary to a provisional finding of the听, which dismissed the method being used by the department.

Political choice

While the Federal Court has seemingly given the government a legal victory, the ultimate outcome will be costly 鈥� especially if the debts are waived.

The court ruling requires recipients be afforded 鈥減rocedural fairness鈥�, meaning resource-intensive investigations will need to be undertaken into the millions of cases yet to be reviewed.

The final price tag is yet unknown. In the听, income apportionment was recorded as a 鈥渃ontingent liability 鈥� unquantifiable鈥�.

Almost all of the outstanding debts would have already been resolved if the government had implemented the Robodebt Royal Commission听听that welfare overpayments should not be pursued if they are more than six years old.

The court鈥檚 decision also fails to address the 159 Australians believed to have been听听over unlawful debts since 2018. These people 鈥� and likely many more before that year 鈥� may have been convicted on defective evidence.

The response to these issues will be a test for the government.

Has it learned the lessons of previous egregious mistakes, or will it allow the ghost of Robodebt to continue to haunt our welfare system?

Republished with permission from . Dr Christopher Rudge is Deputy Director Sydney Health Law, Sydney Law School.听听

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